|
Nie oczekuje aby ktos na tej grupie zlapal aluzje do tytulu, wiec od razu wyjasnie,ze to tytul spektaklu teatralnego Grotowskiego na jakim ten facet zrobil kariere 40 lat temu. Otrzymalem do oceny jako uznany w swiecie spec od ekonomii politycznej tekst pewnego myslacego Polaka po angielsku, jaki ma byc wygloszony w USA w ichniejszymn tubylczym jezyku. Tekst dlugi, podaje jako zalacznik, wrzask w capital letters nie mojej proweniencji. Oto ponizej moja tworcza krytyka, mysle ze nie gorsza niz oryginalny OPUS. Dobrze napisany wyklad ale kompletnie a-historycznie. Problem Chin istnial juz w XVIII wieku gdy owo panstwo zaczynalo niebezpiecznie miec absolutna przewage w handlu z Europa. Te statki holenderskie pelne porcelany, niektore znajdowane dzis na dnie oceanu w stanie jego cargo nietknietym, brytyjscy handlarze importujacy jedwab itp. Swiat occydentalny laknal towarow chinskich i musial placic zlotem i srebrem. Delegacja kupcow przyjeta przez cesarza chinskiego otrzymala odpowiedz: my tu w Chinach niczego od was nie potrzebujemy! Europa rekami Brytyjczykow sobie poradzila z problemem bardzo dobrze.Wojny opiumowe zlamaly Chiny, krok po kroku zagarniano koncesje handlowe jak Hong Kong, Macao. Zoltego czlowieka pokonano przy pomocy brazowego kulisa z Indii, ktory opium produkowal ale go sam nie zuzywal a reszty dokonala chinska natura sklonna do upajania sie opium i do gamblingu. Tak wykastrowane Imperim Srodka w XIX w bylo juz szkieletem swej wlasnej potegi sto lat wczesniej. Ja widze dobrze przyszlosc Swiata occydentalnego (Euro-Ameryki). Zapewne napuscimy znowu brazowego czlowieka na zoltego. A ze obaj maja dzis bombe A to sie ich populacje zredukuja wzajemnie o polowe. Dobrym tego poczatkiem byloby odejscie USA od dolara. Falszywa waluta, smieciowa i tzw fiat money dzis ona jest- kazdy to widzi. Nalezy od niej odejsc umarzajac bez odszkodowania miliardowe gory dolarow zgromadzone przez Chiny a takze handlarzy narkotykow w Am. Lacinskiej co rozkladaja moralnie nasza cywilizacje. Rzadom krajow zaprzyjaznionych mozna wtedy bedzie dac prawo przyjecia do solidnej waluty AMERO. Taka waluta oparta moze byc na parytecie zlota, srebra a takze uzywac zmonetaryzowanych zapasow Uranium po wstepnej obrobce, trzymanych dla bezpieczenstwa w Fort Knox i europejskich jego odpowiednikach. Inna metoda do rozwazenia to carbon footprint credit. Dzis przysluguje on narodom, jutro mozna go bedzie przyznac pojedynczym obywatelom. Wtedy wymuszac na Chinczykach policyjnie jego przestrzeganie. A ze zolty jest dzis co 4 mieszkaniec globu to tez i on najwiecej zaplaci. Adolf Hitler w swej pracy teoretycznej pt Mein Kampf walczyl z Bialym Zydem, uzywajac pozniej do tego celu w praktyce nowatorskich metod. Niech ten tekst moj bedzie zaczatkiem nowego kulturkampfu przeciwko Zydom Zoltym. O metodach walki moznaby podyskutowac ale chibko bo Cesarz Chinski juz wkrotce zlapie nas za jaja i skreci. fatso DEALING WITH CHINA (in the coming years) BY THE YEAR 2025 , CHINAS ECONOMY WILL SURPASS THE US TO BECOME THE NO1 ECONOMY IN THE WORLD. LAST YEAR CHINAS GDP SURPASSED THAT OF NUMBER TWO GERMANY.AND IS GROWING AT 11% PER ANNUM.) IT IS ALSO A COMMUNIST STATE BEING DRIVEN BY CAPITALISM WHICH OF COURSE ISA PHILOSOPHICAL CONTRADICTION CHINA ALSO HAS THE WORLDS BIGGEST ARMY OF 1,1 MILLION, WHICH IS GROWING AT 10% PER YEAR AND IS ONE OF THE WORLDS SIX NUCLEAR POWERS EVEN THOUGH CHINA STATES IT WANTS WORLD PEACE IT HAS 867 MISSILES AIMED AT TAIWAN, AND IN THE PAST HAS SUPPORTED ROUGE NATIONS SUCH AS SUDAN NORTH KOREA AND SOMALIA. BECAUSE OUR TRADE BALANCE WITH CHINA IS NEGATIVE BY 230 BILLION PER YEAR CHINA IS RAPIDLY BECOMING OUR LARGEST CREDITOR. CHINA IS A COUNTRY OF 1.4 BILLION PEOPLE WHICH IS GREATER THAN THE COMBINED POPULATION OF US, RUSSIA, INDONESIA BRAZIL JAPAN AND WESTERN EUROPE THE PEOPLE LIVE IN ANAREA ROUGHLY THE SIZE OF USAND CANADA COMBINED. THOUGH 90% OF THE POPULATION ARE ETHNIC CHINESE, THE WESRERN PART OF THE COUNTRY HAS IN THE PAST BELONGED TO TURKEY, TIBET OR MONGOLIA. THEY SPEAK MANY LANGUAGES AND DIALECTS. AND THERE IS NO NATIONAL LANGUAGE. THOSE WHO SPEAK MANDARIN CANNOT BE UNDERSTOOD IN THE SOUTH THE LANGUAGE DIFFERNCE IS LIKE COMPARING ENGLISH TO SWEDISH. THERE ARE SOME 171 CITIES OF OVER 1 MILLION IN POPULATION WITH SHANGHAI BEING THE LARGEST AT 16 MILLION. SOME OF THE 700,000 VILLAGES EXCEED 100.000 PEOPLE. HOW THEN SHOULD WE MANAGE TO DEAL WITH CHINAS ASCENDANCY ? THE RISE OF CHINA WILL UNDOUBTEDLY BE ONE OF THE GREAT DRAMAS OF THE 21ST CENTURY. SOME OBSERVERS BELIEVE THAT THE AMERICAN ERA IS COMING TO AN END AND THE WESTERN ORIENTED WORLD WILL SOON BECOME DOMINATED BY ASIA AND THE EAST.. DO WE OPPOSE CHINA, OR CAN WE COAX IT INTO THE SO CALLED INTERNA- NATIONAL COMMUNITY? AS CHINA GROWS MORE POWERFUL AND THE US POSITION ERODES TWO THINGS ARE LIKELY TO HAPPEN. CHINA WILL TRY TO USE ITS GROWING INFLUENCE TO RESHAPE THE RULES AND REGULATIONS OF THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM, TO BETTER SERVE ITS INTERESTS, AND IN TURN THE WEST MAY SEE CHINA AS A GROWING SECURITY THREAT.. THIS CAN LEAD TO DISTRUST AND CONFLICT WHICH ARE THE TYPICAL FEATURES OF A POWER TRANSITION. IN THIS VIEW CHINAS RISE WILL FEATURE AN INREASINGLY POWERFULL CHINA AND A DECLINING US LOCKED IN AN EPIC BATTLE OVER THE RULES AND LEADERSHIP OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY. THAT OF COURSE IS NOT INEVITABLE, AND THE US CHINESE POWER TRANSITION CAN BE QUITE DIFFERENT THAN THOSE IN THE PAST WHICH IN THE TWENTIETH CENTURY LED TO WW1 AND WW2 AND THE COLD WAR. BECAUSE CHINA FACES AND DEALS WITH A WESTERN ORIENTEED INTERNATIONAL ORDER, WE HAVE TO INTEGRATE CHINA INTO THE WESTERN SYSTEM AND CONVINCE CHINA THAT THE WAY TO THE EAST GOES THRU THE WEST.. THE WESTERN CENTERED INTERNATIONAL ORDER IS ESTABILISHED AND RULE _base_D AND WOULD BE HARD TO OVERTURN, WHILE IT IS EASY TO JOIN. THE WESTERN SYSTEM IS THE PRODUCT OF FARSIGHTED US LEADERSHIP, WHICH STARTED WITH THE REBUILDING OF EUROPE AND JAPAN AFTER WW2, AND CHINA IS PRESENTLY WORKING WITH OUR SYSTEM. WHEN THE US UNIPOLAR TIME WILL END AND THE BALANCE OF POWER GOES TO CHINA, IF THE STRUGGLE IS BETWEEN CHINA AND THE US, THEN CHINA WILL HAVE THE ADVANTAGE. BUT IF THE POWER STRUGGLE IS BETWEEN CHINA AND THE WESTERN WORLD SYSTEM, THE WEST WILL THEN TRIUMPH. PAGE 2 IF BY 2025 CHINAS GDP DOES EXCEED THE $13.7 TRILLION US ECONOMY , (CHINAS GDP TODAY IS AT 6.7 TRILLION) IT WILL STILL FALL FAR SHORT OF THE OECD TOTAL OF 107 TRILLION OF THE THIRTY COUNTRY. ORGANIZATION FOR ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT THE WEST CAN, AS CHINAS BIGGEST CUSTOMER EXERT A POWERFUL INFLUENCE ON CHINAS TRANSITION TO BE THE NUMBER 1 WORLD POWER AND CERTAINLY HAS AN INTEREST TO DO SO.. INDIA A HUGE FAST GROWING DEMOCRACY, EUROPE AND CHINAS FOURTEEN BORDER NEIGHBORS CAN ALSO BE RECRUITED AS A COUNTERBALNCE TO ANY EXTREME CHINESE MILITARY OR POLITICAL DEMANDS .FORECASING THE FUTURE OF CHINA, DEPENDS ON ITS PAST HISTORY, AND PRESENT ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL CLIMATE,. CURRENT CHINA HAS BEEN DESCRIBED AS THE WORLDS ASSEMBLY SHOP BECAUSE OF THE CHEAP LABOR AVAILABLE. ITS HISTORY GOES BACK SOME 4000YEARS AND CHINESE SCHOLARS ARE BUSY TRYING TO PROVE THAT THEIR CULTURE IS OLDER THAN JAPAN S. 250 MIL MIL CHINESE ARE ILLITERATE BY THEIR GOV STANDARD WHICH REQUIRES KNOWING 400 CHINESE CHARACTERS. IN THE PAST 20YRS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILLION PEOPLE HAVE MIGRATED FROM THE COUNTRYSIDE TO THE CITIES IN SEARCH OF BETTER JOBS. THERE IS A GREAT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE ANNUAL INCOME OF FARM PEOPLE WHICH IS $360 PER YEAR AND THE CITY WHERE THE INCOME OF A FAMILY IS $6800. THIS COMPARES TO $34400 ANNUAL FAMILY INCOME IN THE US. SO WE ARE COMPETING WITH A $3.40 PER WAGE HOUR FOR THE URBAN CHINESE VS $16.76 PER HOUR NATIONAL US WAGE LAST YEAR CHINA PASSED THE US TO BECOME THE WORLDS #1 POLLUTING NATION, IN TERMS OF CARBON EMISSIONS.. NOT PER CAPITA BUT AS A COUNTRY.. PUBLIC WATER IN 76% OF THE CITIES IS UNFIT TO DRINK AIR POLLUTION IS TERRIBLE AND AS A RESULT EVERYONE SPITS ON THE SIDEWALKS. FOOD SANITATION AND HYGIENE IS ALSO VERY POOR. RECENTLY CHINA HAS REORGANIZED ITS GOVERNMENT TO IMPROVE PRODUCT SAFETY, SERVICES AND ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS BUT AT THIS TIME THEIR EQUIVALENT OF THE US EPA IS 300 PEOPLEIN BEIJING. TODAY : CHINAS GDP IS 8.6 TRILLION VS 13,25 TRILLION FOR THE US.. US IMPORTS FROM CHINA ACCOUNT FOR 25% OF OUR TRADE DEFICIT. AND OUR EXPORTS TO CHINA OF 1.4 BILLION ARE FIFTH ON OUR EXPORT LIST. US COMPANIES ACCOUNT FOR 40% OF FOREIGN ANNUAL INVESTMENT IN C HINESE BUSINESSES OF 1.5 TRILLION, CHINAS ECONOMY IS 70% DEPENDENT ON EXPORTS VS 24% FOR THE U,S. MIDDLE CLASS IN CHINA HAS GROWN FROM 4% TEN YEARS AGO TO 30% TODAY. DURING THE PAST TWO YEARS THE SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET INDEX HAS RISEN FROM 1000 TO 6000 AS THE MIDDLE CLASS PROSPERS AND SAVES MONEY CHINAS MONETARY POLICY HAS FAILED TO CURB THE 11%ANNUAL GROWTH AND INFLATION WHICH WAS 11% LAST YEAR) IS A REAL THREAT. IF THE CHINA BANK WERE TO RAISE ITS INTEREST RATES THIS WOULD ATTRACT MORE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND MORE INFLATION.BY BOLSTERING THE YEN CONTRARY TO WASHINGTON POLITICIANS A FLOATING YEN WILL NOT SOLVE THE PROBLEM OF THE DECLINING DOLLAR BECAUSE EVEN THOUGH WE OWE CHINA 250BIL IN TRADE CHINA IN TURN OWES $120BIL TO ITS SUPPLIERS, AND THE TRADE BALANCE NEEDS TO BE SOLVED AS A GLOBAL ISSUE.. CHINA IS A COMMUNIST COUNTRY. THE CHINESE LEADERS ARE SELLING THE CURRENT ECONOMIC PROSPERITY AS A SUCCESS OF ... wi?cej »
|